Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Brcko, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday


	Gabriele Maria Noce		Francesco Ferrari

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.47	1.5
	2.28	1.59	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.33	1.55	Watch
	2.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.09)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Maria Noce
42%

Francesco Ferrari
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Maria Noce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Francesco Ferrari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Maria Noce than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriele Maria Noce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Ferrari than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Ferrari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Noce is ranked ATP: 914. Ferrari is ranked ATP: 943.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Maria Noce
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Viacheslav Bielinskyi - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Gabriele Maria Noce - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.25	Alex Molcan - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Gabriele Maria Noce - Michel Hopp	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Maxence Rivet - Gabriele Maria Noce	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Francesco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Francesco Ferrari - Sebastian Sorger	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.04.25	Alafia Ayeni - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Max Houkes - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Francesco Ferrari - Matteo Mesaglio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Maria Noce
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Stefano DAgostino - Gabriele Maria Noce	✺

Gabriele Maria Noce - Francesco Ferrari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide