Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Gubbio, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Gabriele Maria Noce		Pietro Marino

	1	2
	1.90	1.78
	1.85	1.85
	2.02	1.81
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2	1.78
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.84)	1.79 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Maria Noce
48%

Pietro Marino
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Maria Noce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Pietro Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Maria Noce than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietro Marino than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Gabriele Maria Noce - Pietro Marino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noce is ranked ATP: 861. Marino is ranked ATP: 1026.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Noce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriele Maria Noce - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Maria Noce
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Filippo Alfano	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Michele Mecarelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Tsung-Hao Huang - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Jakub Nicod	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Stijn Paardekooper	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW
- Pietro Marino
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Pietro Marino - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Pietro Marino - Andrea Bacaloni	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Pietro Marino - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Rohan Mehra - Pietro Marino	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Pietro Marino - Hazem Naw	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWL

Gabriele Maria Noce - Pietro Marino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide