Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday


	Gabriele Pennaforti		Imanol Lopez Morillo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
			Watch
	1.95	1.80	Watch
	1.91	1.82	Watch
	2.28	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.28)	1.79 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Pennaforti
47.6%

Imanol Lopez Morillo
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriele Pennaforti's performance.

Imanol Lopez Morillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Imanol Lopez Morillo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriele Pennaforti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imanol Lopez Morillo than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imanol Lopez Morillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Gabriele Pennaforti - Imanol Lopez Morillo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pennaforti will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Lopez Morillo will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gabriele Pennaforti will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 462. Lopez Morillo is ranked ATP: 614.

Pennaforti has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lopez Morillo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pennaforti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lopez Morillo might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Lopez Morillo will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pennaforti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriele Pennaforti - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.93%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Pennaforti
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Giovanni Fonio - Gabriele Pennaforti	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Adil Kalyanpur - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWL
- Imanol Lopez Morillo
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Jack Loge - Imanol Lopez Morillo	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Alessandro Bellifemine - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Vincent Marysko	Lopez Morillo I. retired ✺
31.08.25	Peter Buldorini - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.04.23	Gabriele Pennaforti - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:1

Gabriele Pennaforti - Imanol Lopez Morillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide