Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 San Gregorio di Catania 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Gabriele Pennaforti		Ziga Sesko

	1	2
	1.83	1.93
	1.59	2.15	Watch
	1.78	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.31)	2 ↓ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gabriele Pennaforti
53.6%

Ziga Sesko
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gabriele Pennaforti's form might have worsened.

Ziga Sesko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ziga Sesko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriele Pennaforti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ziga Sesko than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ziga Sesko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gabriele Pennaforti - Ziga Sesko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 508. Sesko is ranked ATP: 1156.

Recent performances by Pennaforti have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sesko is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pennaforti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pennaforti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Michele Mecarelli	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Giannicola Misasi	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Gabriele Pennaforti	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLW?
- Ziga Sesko
ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Ziga Sesko - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Ziga Sesko - Giovanni Conigliaro	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Sandro Kopp - Ziga Sesko	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Ziga Sesko - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Matteo Fondriest - Ziga Sesko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches