Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 2, clay - Final

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday


	Gabriele Piraino		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.50
	2.4	1.51	Watch
	2.49	1.6
	2.49	1.51
	2.45	1.56
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.53)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Piraino
38.5%

Petr Nesterov
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Piraino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Piraino than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Gabriele Piraino - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Piraino is ranked ATP: 404. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 364.

Piraino is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nesterov is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nesterov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nesterov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Piraino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriele Piraino - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.37%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.63%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Piraino
ATP Challenger
08.08.26	Gabriele Piraino - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Gabriele Piraino	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Gabriele Piraino - Ognjen Milic	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Gabriele Piraino - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Jozef Kovalik - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL
- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
08.08.26	Petr Nesterov - Radu Mihai Papoe	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Adrian Andreev - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Petr Nesterov - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.08.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Gabriele Piraino - Petr Nesterov	2:1

Gabriele Piraino - Petr Nesterov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide