Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TIBURON (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday


	Garrett Johns		Learner Tien

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.1	1.68
	2.16	1.72
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.14	1.65	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.6)	1.67 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garrett Johns
44.1%

Learner Tien
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garrett Johns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Garrett Johns's performance.

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Learner Tien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Garrett Johns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Learner Tien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Garrett Johns - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Johns will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Tien will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Recent matches Johns is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tien is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tien could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tien will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Tien to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garrett Johns
ATP Challenger
02.10.23	Garrett Johns - Alexander Cozbinov	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Omni Kumar - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
28.09.23	Garrett Johns - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
25.09.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLWL
- Learner Tien
Boys Singles US Open
09.09.23	Joao Fonseca - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
08.09.23	Arthur Gea - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
07.09.23	Learner Tien - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
06.09.23	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Sebastian Eriksson - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW

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