Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRAGA (PORTUGAL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Gastao Elias		Alessandro Giannessi

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.78	1.95
	1.84	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.57)	1.95 ↓ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
52.2%

Alessandro Giannessi
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gastao Elias's form might have worsened.

Alessandro Giannessi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alessandro Giannessi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gastao Elias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandro Giannessi than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandro Giannessi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Gastao Elias - Alessandro Giannessi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Giannessi will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Giannessi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Elias won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Gastao Elias - Inigo Cervantes	0:2 ✺
30.08.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Gastao Elias - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Gastao Elias - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
03.08.23	Gastao Elias - Jules Marie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL
- Alessandro Giannessi
ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Bor Artnak - Alessandro Giannessi	Giannessi A. retired ✺
07.09.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
06.09.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
04.09.23	Jaume Munar - Alessandro Giannessi	1:2 ✺
31.08.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.04.22	Alessandro Giannessi - Gastao Elias	0:2
02.04.22	Alessandro Giannessi - Gastao Elias	0:2
31.05.16	Gastao Elias - Alessandro Giannessi	1:2

Gastao Elias - Alessandro Giannessi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide