The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gastao Elias 32.7%
Alex Molcan 67.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
58.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gastao Elias's form might have worsened.
Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Molcan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gastao Elias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Molcan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.3%
0%
78.7%
Gastao Elias - Alex Molcan Predictions
Users Predictions:
Alex Molcan will win
(37 of 47 users predict this - 78.72%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.02% – 90.42%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Elias is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Molcan is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Elias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Molcan will have a mini benefit in this match.
Molcan will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Elias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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