Match Info

Date: 31 March 2022, Thursday


	Gastao Elias		Andrea Vavassori

	1	2
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.7	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.04
	1.69	2.17
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.66	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)	2.09 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
55.3%

Andrea Vavassori
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gastao Elias's performance.

Andrea Vavassori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Vavassori might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gastao Elias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Vavassori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	0%	22.7%

Gastao Elias - Andrea Vavassori Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Vavassori will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elias: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Elias is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vavassori is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
29.03.22	Gastao Elias - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
22.03.22	Gastao Elias - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
16.03.22	Timofey Skatov - Gastao Elias	2:1 ✺
14.03.22	Gastao Elias - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	Elias G. retired ✺
23.02.22	Alexander Ritschard - Gastao Elias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLL?L
- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Challenger
29.03.22	Andrea Vavassori - Gianluca Mager	Mager G. retired ✺
25.03.22	Manuel Guinard - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
24.03.22	Andrea Vavassori - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
21.03.22	Andrea Vavassori - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
17.03.22	Zsombor Piros - Andrea Vavassori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LWWL

Gastao Elias - Andrea Vavassori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide