Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Gastao Elias		Evan Furness

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.71	1.98
	1.77	2.11
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.78	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.23)	1.98 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
52.8%

Evan Furness
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gastao Elias's performance.

Evan Furness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Evan Furness might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gastao Elias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Furness than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evan Furness could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.2%	0%	29.8%

Gastao Elias - Evan Furness Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 33 - 70.2%). Furness will win (votes: 14 - 29.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elias: 57.1% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Elias is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Furness is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Elias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Elias won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
02.04.21	Alex Molcan - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
01.04.21	Gastao Elias - Roberto Ortega-Olmedo	2:1 ✺
30.03.21	Chun Hsin Tseng - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.03.21	Lucas Poullain - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
03.03.21	Tomas Lipovsek Puches - Gastao Elias	Elias G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWL?
- Evan Furness
ATP Challenger
02.04.21	Raul Brancaccio - Evan Furness	1:2 ✺
31.03.21	Riccardo Bonadio - Evan Furness	1:2 ✺
30.03.21	Evan Furness - Enzo Couacaud	2:1 ✺
29.03.21	Evan Furness - Francisco Cabral	2:0 ✺
28.03.21	Evan Furness - Miguel Gomes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.02.21	Gastao Elias - Evan Furness	0:2

Gastao Elias - Evan Furness: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide