Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: MURCIA (SPAIN) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gastao Elias		Gregoire Barrere

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.87	1.96
	1.88	1.96
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.82	1.92	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.29)	1.88 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
50.1%

Gregoire Barrere
49.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gastao Elias's performance.

Gregoire Barrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gregoire Barrere might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gastao Elias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gregoire Barrere could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Gastao Elias - Gregoire Barrere Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Barrere will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elias: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Elias is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barrere is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
18.03.24	Gastao Elias - Gabriel Debru	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Gastao Elias - Nikola Djukic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.03.24	Viktor Durasovic - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Naoki Nakagawa - Gastao Elias	Nakagawa N. retired ✺
05.03.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWL?W
- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Challenger
01.03.24	Otto Virtanen - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Hazem Naw - Gregoire Barrere	Naw H. retired ✺
26.02.24	Zdenek Kolar - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Gregoire Barrere - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
10.02.24	David Goffin - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 L?WLL

Gastao Elias - Gregoire Barrere

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Gastao Elias - Gregoire Barrere Predictions

Preview

Form

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