Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Gastao Elias		Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.9	1.81	Watch
	1.97	1.85
	1.91	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.88)	1.82 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
48.7%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gastao Elias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Gastao Elias - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Prado Angelo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Prado Angelo: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Elias is ranked ATP: 330. Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 307.

Recent matches Elias is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Prado Angelo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Elias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gastao Elias - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.87%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
14.10.24	Gastao Elias - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Gastao Elias - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Gastao Elias - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Joao Domingues - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Raphael Collignon - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
14.10.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Jose Pereira	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.10.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Igor Gimenez	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

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