Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday


	Gastao Elias		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.7	1.44
	2.55	1.43
	2.66	1.49
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.66	1.43	Watch
	2.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.61)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
35.5%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Gastao Elias - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Elias is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Varillas Patino-Samudio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Varillas Patino-Samudio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Elias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
28.09.22	Gastao Elias - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
27.09.22	Pedro Cachin - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
20.09.22	Gastao Elias - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.22	Gijs Brouwer - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.22	Gastao Elias - Nicolas Barrientos	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLL?
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
26.09.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Collarini	Canceled ✺
22.09.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Varillas J. P. retired ✺
21.09.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Alvarez	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
18.09.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 ??WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
11.01.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gastao Elias	1:2

Gastao Elias - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide