Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan (Poland) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 June 2024, Monday

Referee: Sobieraj W. (Pol)


	Gastao Elias		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.5
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.56
	1.28	3.56
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.5	Watch
	1.27	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.42)	3.47 ↑ (2.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
73.1%

Lorenzo Carboni
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gastao Elias's performance.

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Carboni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gastao Elias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gastao Elias - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Elias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Elias is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Gastao Elias - Alexander Blus	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gastao Elias	2:1 ✺
04.06.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
03.06.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	Cem Ilkel - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW
- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.06.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Viacheslav Bielinskyi	0:2 ✺
Boys Singles French Open
07.06.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Tomasz Berkieta	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	Rei Sakamoto - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
05.06.24	Mae Malige - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLWW

Gastao Elias - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide