Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zagreb (Croatia) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 3 June 2024, Monday

Referee: Yovchev I. (Bul)


	Riccardo Bonadio		Gastao Elias

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.13	1.68
	2.14	1.68
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.2	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riccardo Bonadio
44.3%

Gastao Elias
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riccardo Bonadio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riccardo Bonadio's form might have worsened.

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gastao Elias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riccardo Bonadio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gastao Elias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Riccardo Bonadio - Gastao Elias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Bonadio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riccardo Bonadio
ATP Challenger
02.06.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:0 ✺
27.05.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
26.05.24	Marcello Serafini - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
24.05.24	Elmer Moeller - Riccardo Bonadio	2:1 ✺
23.05.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW
- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
02.06.24	Cem Ilkel - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
14.05.24	Gastao Elias - Joris De Loore	1:2 ✺
09.05.24	Gastao Elias - Elmer Moeller	1:2 ✺
07.05.24	Gastao Elias - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
06.05.24	Guy Den Ouden - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW

Riccardo Bonadio - Gastao Elias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide