Match Info

Date: 12 April 2022, Tuesday


	Gastao Elias		Manuel Guinard

	1	2
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.42	1.57
	2.1	1.67
	2.34	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.09)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
41.9%

Manuel Guinard
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Manuel Guinard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Gastao Elias - Manuel Guinard Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Guinard will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elias: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Elias in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Guinard is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guinard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Elias won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
10.04.22	Alessandro Giannessi - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	Gastao Elias - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
08.04.22	Zsombor Piros - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
07.04.22	Gastao Elias - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
05.04.22	Sebastian Fanselow - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Manuel Guinard
ATP Challenger
31.03.22	Pedro Cachin - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
29.03.22	Javier Barranco Cosano - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
29.03.22	Fernando Verdasco - Manuel Guinard	Canceled ✺
26.03.22	Manuel Guinard - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
25.03.22	Manuel Guinard - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.01.18	Gastao Elias - Manuel Guinard	0:2

Gastao Elias - Manuel Guinard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide