Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday


	Gastao Elias		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.56	2.38
	1.5	2.36
	1.54	2.5
	1.57	2.2	Watch
	1.49	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	2.37 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
60.6%

Pavel Kotov
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.9%	0%	36.1%

Gastao Elias - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Kotov will win (votes: 13 - 36.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elias: 48.2% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Elias will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Elias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
24.11.20	Thiago Monteiro - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.11.20	Gastao Elias - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Canceled ✺
31.10.20	Gastao Elias - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
30.10.20	Viktor Galovic - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
29.10.20	Gastao Elias - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 L?LWW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
18.11.20	Pavel Kotov - Antoine Hoang	0:2 ✺
16.11.20	Pavel Kotov - Maxime Cressy	2:1 ✺
28.10.20	Pavel Kotov - Nikola Milojevic	0:2 ✺
27.10.20	Borna Gojo - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP St Petersburg
14.10.20	Pavel Kotov - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.07.19	Pavel Kotov - Gastao Elias	0:2

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