Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	Thiago Monteiro		Gastao Elias

	1	2
	1.16	5	Watch
	1.2	3.9
	1.21	4.4	Watch
	1.18	4.1
	1.21	4.57
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.21	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.33)	4.31 ↑ (3.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
78.2%

Gastao Elias
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Monteiro's performance.

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gastao Elias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Monteiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gastao Elias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Thiago Monteiro - Gastao Elias Predictions

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Elias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elias is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Elias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
19.11.20	Thiago Monteiro - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
17.11.20	Thiago Monteiro - Stefan Kozlov	2:0 ✺
16.11.20	Thiago Monteiro - JC Aragone	Canceled ✺
12.11.20	Thiago Monteiro - Mikael Torpegaard	1:2 ✺
10.11.20	Thiago Monteiro - Guilherme Clezar	Clezar G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LW?L?
- Gastao Elias
ITF Tournaments
04.11.20	Gastao Elias - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Canceled ✺
31.10.20	Gastao Elias - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
30.10.20	Viktor Galovic - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
29.10.20	Gastao Elias - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
28.10.20	Gastao Elias - Raphael Baltensperger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
21.02.17	Thiago Monteiro - Gastao Elias	2:1
ATP Challenger
22.10.15	Thiago Monteiro - Gastao Elias	1:2

Thiago Monteiro - Gastao Elias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide