Match Info

Date: 18 February 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Gauthier Onclin		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.66	2.12
	1.61	2.09
	1.65	2.16
	1.67	2.1
	1.63	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.5)	2.13 ↓ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
56.5%

Naoki Nakagawa
43.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gauthier Onclin's form might have worsened.

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naoki Nakagawa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gauthier Onclin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Onclin in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Nakagawa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nakagawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Onclin to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ITF Tournaments
17.02.21	Gauthier Onclin - Jean Thirouin	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Alexander Erler - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
13.02.21	Yannick Mertens - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
11.02.21	Gauthier Onclin - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
09.02.21	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWWW
- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
16.02.21	Naoki Nakagawa - Alexis Gautier	2:1 ✺
11.02.21	Skander Mansouri - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
09.02.21	Naoki Tajima - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
04.02.21	Naoki Nakagawa - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
02.02.21	Naoki Nakagawa - Lilian Marmousez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW

Gauthier Onclin - Naoki Nakagawa

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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