Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MEXICO CITY (MEXICO), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 March 2023, Monday


	Genaro Alberto Olivieri		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.2
	1.64	2.32
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.55	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	2.29 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genaro Alberto Olivieri
59.2%

Nicolas Mejia
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genaro Alberto Olivieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genaro Alberto Olivieri's performance.

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Mejia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genaro Alberto Olivieri than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genaro Alberto Olivieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Mejia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Mejia will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mejia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Olivieri won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genaro Alberto Olivieri
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Hugo Dellien - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
10.03.23	Federico Gaio - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
09.03.23	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
07.03.23	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Alvaro Lopez San Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW
- Nicolas Mejia
ITF Tournaments
18.03.23	Emilien Voisin - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
17.03.23	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
16.03.23	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
15.03.23	Arvid Nordquist - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.03.23	Benoit Paire - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.01.23	Nicolas Mejia - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1

Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Nicolas Mejia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide