Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Genaro Alberto Olivieri		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.51	2.4	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	2.43 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genaro Alberto Olivieri
61.8%

Valerio Aboian
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genaro Alberto Olivieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genaro Alberto Olivieri than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Olivieri will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Aboian will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Olivieri is ranked ATP: 291., and Aboian is ranked ATP: 341..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Aboian could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Olivieri is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Olivieri has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1:0.7 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Valerio Aboian - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.38%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genaro Alberto Olivieri
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Matias Franco Descotte	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Julian Cundom	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Valerio Aboian	1:2
24.04.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Valerio Aboian	2:0
25.04.23	Valerio Aboian - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Canceled

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