Match Info

Date: 23 September 2021, Thursday


	Gerald Melzer		Julian Lenz

	1	2
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.45
	1.5	2.62
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	2.47 ↓ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerald Melzer
62.1%

Julian Lenz
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerald Melzer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Julian Lenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerald Melzer than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julian Lenz than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Gerald Melzer - Julian Lenz Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Melzer will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Lenz will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lenz: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Melzer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Melzer will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gerald Melzer
ATP Challenger
22.09.21	Gerald Melzer - Patrick Kypson	2:1 ✺
07.09.21	Gerald Melzer - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
10.08.21	Gerald Melzer - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
06.08.21	Tomas Machac - Gerald Melzer	2:0 ✺
05.08.21	Evan Furness - Gerald Melzer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLW
- Julian Lenz
ATP Challenger
21.09.21	Julian Lenz - Emilio Gomez	2:0 ✺
08.09.21	Julian Lenz - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
06.09.21	Goncalo Oliveira - Julian Lenz	1:2 ✺
31.08.21	Julian Lenz - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
24.08.21	Lukas Klein - Julian Lenz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLL

Gerald Melzer - Julian Lenz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide