Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Gian Luca Tanner		Noah Lopez Cherubino

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Gian Luca Tanner
47.9%

Noah Lopez Cherubino
52.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gian Luca Tanner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Noah Lopez Cherubino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gian Luca Tanner than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah Lopez Cherubino than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Tanner is ranked ATP: 1420. Lopez Cherubino is ranked ATP: 2118.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

Tanner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gian Luca Tanner
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Lucas Gerch - Gian Luca Tanner	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gian Luca Tanner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLLW
- Noah Lopez Cherubino
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Noah Lopez Cherubino - Julio Cesar Porras	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Joshua Peck - Noah Lopez Cherubino	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Noah Lopez Cherubino - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Noah Lopez Cherubino - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Pavel Lagutin - Noah Lopez Cherubino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Gian Luca Tanner - Noah Lopez Cherubino