The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gian Marco Moroni 49.3%
Andrea Vavassori 50.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gian Marco Moroni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gian Marco Moroni's form might have worsened.
Andrea Vavassori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Vavassori's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gian Marco Moroni than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gian Marco Moroni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Vavassori, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
24%
0%
76%
Gian Marco Moroni - Andrea Vavassori Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Moroni will win (votes: 6 - 24%). Vavassori will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vavassori: 59.3% – 92.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Moroni is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Vavassori is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Moroni could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
Watch
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