Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday


	Gian Marco Moroni		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.18
	1.63	2.24
	1.68	2.21
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.15	Watch
	1.62	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)	2.18 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gian Marco Moroni
57.1%

Daniel Michalski
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gian Marco Moroni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gian Marco Moroni than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Gian Marco Moroni - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moroni is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Michalski is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michalski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gian Marco Moroni
ATP Challenger
21.11.22	Giovanni Fonio - Gian Marco Moroni	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Mario Mansilla Diez - Gian Marco Moroni	0:2 ✺
10.10.22	Elliot Benchetrit - Gian Marco Moroni	Moroni M. retired ✺
06.10.22	Mate Valkusz - Gian Marco Moroni	2:1 ✺
04.10.22	Gian Marco Moroni - Lucas Gerch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WW?LW
- Daniel Michalski
ITF Tournaments
19.11.22	Daniel Michalski - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
18.11.22	Daniel Michalski - Mircea Alexandru Jecan	2:0 ✺
17.11.22	Daniel Michalski - Savva Polukhin	2:0 ✺
16.11.22	Daniel Michalski - Igor Shrolik	2:0 ✺
11.11.22	Dan Alexandru Tomescu - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL

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