Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 5 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday


	Gian Matias Di Natale		Pietro Marino

	1	2
	3.26	1.3
	3.26	1.3
	3.4	1.3
	3.24	1.31	Watch
	3.15	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.57)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gian Matias Di Natale
28.5%

Pietro Marino
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gian Matias Di Natale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gian Matias Di Natale's form might have worsened.

Pietro Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pietro Marino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gian Matias Di Natale than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gian Matias Di Natale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietro Marino than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pietro Marino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Di Natale has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Marino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Di Natale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Di Natale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gian Matias Di Natale
ITF Tournaments
16.04.24	Gian Matias Di Natale - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	0:2 ✺
10.04.24	Gian Matias Di Natale - Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Gabriel Decamps - Gian Matias Di Natale	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Oleg Prihodko - Gian Matias Di Natale	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	Gian Matias Di Natale - Karlo Cubelic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pietro Marino
ITF Tournaments
19.04.24	Pietro Marino - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	David Pichler - Pietro Marino	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Aldin Setkic - Pietro Marino	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Daniel Michalski - Pietro Marino	2:1 ✺
25.03.24	Salvatore Caruso - Pietro Marino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.10.23	Gian Matias Di Natale - Pietro Marino	2:1

Gian Matias Di Natale - Pietro Marino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide