Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Andrej Martin

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.42
	1.53	2.30	Watch
	1.48	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.73)	2.41 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
61.3%

Andrej Martin
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gianluca Cadenasso's performance.

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrej Martin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gianluca Cadenasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrej Martin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gianluca Cadenasso - Andrej Martin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 460. Martin is ranked ATP: 384.

Cadenasso is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Martin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cadenasso could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cadenasso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ITF Tournaments
01.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Viacheslav Bielinskyi - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Amaury Raynel	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Stefano Napolitano - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWL
- Andrej Martin
ITF Tournaments
01.10.25	Jacopo Bilardo - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Kasra Rahmani - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.08.25	Andrej Martin - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Andrej Martin - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.06.24	Gianluca Cadenasso - Andrej Martin	0:2

Gianluca Cadenasso - Andrej Martin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide