Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Store, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Francisco Rocha

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.53	2.44
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.59	2.24	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)	2.17 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
57.1%

Francisco Rocha
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gianluca Cadenasso's performance.

Francisco Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Rocha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gianluca Cadenasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Rocha than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Rocha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 466. Rocha is ranked ATP: 701.

Recent performances by Cadenasso have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rocha is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cadenasso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Dominko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Oleg Prihodko - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.06.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Maxence Rivet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW
- Francisco Rocha
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Noa Vukadin - Francisco Rocha	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Josip Simundza - Francisco Rocha	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Francisco Rocha - Josip Simundza	1:2 ✺
26.06.25	Francisco Rocha - Michael Gloeckler	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Francisco Rocha - Nazar Oliynykov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Gianluca Cadenasso - Francisco Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide