Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Giovanni Oradini

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.93	1.85
	1.32	3.19	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.94	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.08)	2.05 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
53.2%

Giovanni Oradini
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gianluca Cadenasso's performance.

Giovanni Oradini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giovanni Oradini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gianluca Cadenasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giovanni Oradini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gianluca Cadenasso - Giovanni Oradini Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oradini will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oradini (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 531. Oradini is ranked ATP: 646.

In recent matches, Cadenasso has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oradini is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cadenasso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Oradini will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cadenasso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Franco Agamenone - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
05.08.25	Gabriele Vulpitta - Gianluca Cadenasso	Cadenasso G. retired ✺
01.08.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Radu Mihai Papoe	Cadenasso G. retired ✺
31.07.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WL??W
- Giovanni Oradini
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Giovanni Oradini - Christian Sigsgaard	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Giovanni Oradini - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Giovanni Oradini - Lorenzo Beraldo	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Giovanni Oradini - Jacopo Bilardo	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Giovanni Oradini - Noah Perfetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Giovanni Oradini - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0

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