Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.46	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.51
	1.49	2.43	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.39)	2.53 ↓ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
63.1%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gianluca Cadenasso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gianluca Cadenasso - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 300. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 402.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Cadenasso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cadenasso could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cadenasso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.82%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Jaime Faria - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Miguel Damas - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	Rodriguez Taverna S. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Bastian Malla	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Lorenzo Gagliardo	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Thiago Cigarran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2
27.07.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2

Gianluca Cadenasso - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide