Match Info

Date: 6 June 2022, Monday


	Gianluca Mager		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.92	1.85
	1.82	1.84
	1.85	1.98
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.76	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.61)	1.9 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Mager
50.9%

Luca Nardi
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gianluca Mager's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Nardi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Gianluca Mager - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mager will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Nardi will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mager is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nardi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mager could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
31.05.22	Matteo Gigante - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
31.05.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Gianluca Mager	Canceled ✺
27.05.22	Gianluca Mager - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
25.05.22	Gianluca Mager - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
24.05.22	Gianluca Mager - Ernests Gulbis	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?LW?
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
31.05.22	Luca Nardi - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.22	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
18.05.22	Paul Jubb - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
17.05.22	Luca Nardi - Andrej Martin	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.22	Luca Nardi - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL

Gianluca Mager - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide