Match Info

Date: 16 June 2021, Wednesday


	Gianluca Mager		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.95	1.82	Watch
	1.89	1.78
	1.97	1.85
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.05)	1.8 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Mager
48.1%

Sebastian Baez
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Gianluca Mager - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Mager is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Baez is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mager could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
14.06.21	Gianluca Mager - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.21	Jannik Sinner - Gianluca Mager	3:1 ✺
31.05.21	Gianluca Mager - John Millman	Canceled ✺
ATP Parma
25.05.21	Gianluca Mager - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.21	Gianluca Mager - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WL?LL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Challenger
15.06.21	Daniel Siniakov - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
13.06.21	Sebastian Baez - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
12.06.21	Filip Horansky - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
11.06.21	Matthias Bachinger - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
10.06.21	Sebastian Baez - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW

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