Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 8 (ITALY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday


	Gianmarco Ferrari		Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.34	1.53
	2.32	1.59
	2.25	1.57
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.13	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.36)	1.57 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianmarco Ferrari
41%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianmarco Ferrari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Preview

Recent matches Ferrari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sanchez Izquierdo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ferrari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sanchez Izquierdo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Sanchez Izquierdo to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferrari won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
05.10.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
04.10.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Gian Matias Di Natale	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Giammarco Gandolfi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.23	Michael Vrbensky - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Vlad Andrei Dumitru - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ITF Tournaments
05.10.23	Federico Iannaccone - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
04.10.23	Tommaso Compagnucci - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Toby Martin - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.23	Timo Stodder - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Duarte Vale - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.07.22	Gianmarco Ferrari - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0

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