Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Gianmarco Ferrari		Sergey Fomin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	2.9
	1.37	3.02
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.37	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.7)	2.87 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianmarco Ferrari
67.6%

Sergey Fomin
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianmarco Ferrari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gianmarco Ferrari's performance.

Sergey Fomin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sergey Fomin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gianmarco Ferrari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sergey Fomin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	0%	8.7%

Gianmarco Ferrari - Sergey Fomin Predictions

Users Predictions: Gianmarco Ferrari will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ferrari is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fomin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fomin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianmarco Ferrari
ATP Challenger
22.02.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
06.02.23	Daniel Masur - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Zura Tkemaladze - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.01.23	Anton Matusevich - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Sergey Fomin
ITF Tournaments
25.02.23	Sergey Fomin - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
24.02.23	Sergey Fomin - Lucas Krainer	2:0 ✺
23.02.23	Sergey Fomin - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
22.02.23	Sergey Fomin - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.23	Johan Tatlot - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL

Gianmarco Ferrari - Sergey Fomin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide