Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Sergey Fomin		Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.3
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.32	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	3.18 ↑ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergey Fomin
70.6%

Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergey Fomin's performance.

Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergey Fomin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sergey Fomin - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fomin is ranked ATP: 492. Trongcharoenchaikul is ranked ATP: 826.

Fomin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Trongcharoenchaikul has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trongcharoenchaikul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fomin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fomin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Sergey Fomin - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Rio Noguchi - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.25	Tsz Fu Wong - Sergey Fomin	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Tsung-Hao Huang - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LW?LL
- Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul
ITF Tournaments
18.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Shinji Hazawa - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Tianhui Zhang - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Siddhant Banthia - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.02.23	Sergey Fomin - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:0

Sergey Fomin - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide