Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez (France), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Tropez (France) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	16:45	Veikkaus TV


	Gijs Brouwer		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.29	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.55
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.43	1.53	Watch
	2.29	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.77)	1.55 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gijs Brouwer
39.7%

Luca Van Assche
60.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gijs Brouwer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gijs Brouwer's performance.

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Van Assche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gijs Brouwer than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gijs Brouwer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Van Assche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Gijs Brouwer - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brouwer will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Van Assche will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brouwer is ranked ATP: 223. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 111.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Brouwer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Van Assche will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brouwer won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gijs Brouwer
ATP Challenger
16.09.24	Gijs Brouwer - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Gijs Brouwer - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Ilia Simakin - Gijs Brouwer	2:1 ✺
03.09.24	Gijs Brouwer - Denis Yevseyev	Yevseyev D. retired ✺
ATP US Open
20.08.24	Gijs Brouwer - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWL?L
- Luca Van Assche
ATP US Open
21.08.24	Luca Van Assche - Radu Albot	1:2 ✺
19.08.24	Luca Van Assche - Pablo Cuevas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.24	Luca Van Assche - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
12.08.24	Luca Van Assche - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
07.08.24	Paul Jubb - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
10.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Gijs Brouwer	0:2
ATP Challenger
01.03.23	Gijs Brouwer - Luca Van Assche	1:2
ITF Tournaments
21.01.21	Luca Van Assche - Gijs Brouwer	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gijs Brouwer
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Gijs Brouwer - Koray Kirci	✺

Gijs Brouwer - Luca Van Assche