Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santo Domingo (Dominican Republic), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santo Domingo (Dominican Republic) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Aziz Dougaz

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Gilles Arnaud Bailly
44.9%

Aziz Dougaz
55.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Bailly is ranked ATP: 622. Dougaz is ranked ATP: 206.

Recent matches Bailly is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dougaz is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dougaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dougaz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Dougaz to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Benjamin Thomas George - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Fadi Bidan	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Adam Nagoudi - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Branko Djuric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWW
- Aziz Dougaz
ITF Tournaments
18.03.25	Mateo Barreiros Reyes - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Aziz Dougaz - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	Dougaz A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.25	Borna Coric - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Tom Paris - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Aziz Dougaz - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 W?LWW

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Aziz Dougaz