Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Aziz Dougaz		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.08	1.72	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.72	Watch
	1.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.25)	1.76 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aziz Dougaz
46.8%

Yuta Shimizu
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Dougaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aziz Dougaz's performance.

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuta Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aziz Dougaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Aziz Dougaz - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dougaz will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Dougaz is ranked ATP: 212. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 181.

Dougaz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shimizu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shimizu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dougaz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Dubai
24.02.25	Aziz Dougaz - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.25	Fabian Marozsan - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.25	Marton Fucsovics - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Charles Broom - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Yuta Shimizu - Christian Langmo	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Yuta Shimizu - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Yuta Shimizu - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Marek Gengel - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
27.01.25	Masamichi Imamura - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.23	Aziz Dougaz - Yuta Shimizu	2:1

Aziz Dougaz - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide