Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Augsburg, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Augsburg 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Benito Sanchez Martinez

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.52	2.57
	1.39	2.86	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.85)	2.63 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
64.4%

Benito Sanchez Martinez
35.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gilles Arnaud Bailly's performance.

Benito Sanchez Martinez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benito Sanchez Martinez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilles Arnaud Bailly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benito Sanchez Martinez than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benito Sanchez Martinez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Benito Sanchez Martinez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bailly (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 380. Sanchez Martinez is ranked ATP: 987.

Bailly is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sanchez Martinez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bailly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bailly might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
19.08.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.08.25	Lilian Marmousez - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Henri Squire - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Marvin Moeller - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Fadi Bidan - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW
- Benito Sanchez Martinez
ATP Challenger
19.08.25	Daniel Masur - Benito Sanchez Martinez	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Benito Sanchez Martinez	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Benito Sanchez Martinez - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Benito Sanchez Martinez	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Benito Sanchez Martinez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benito Sanchez Martinez
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Louis Larue - Benito Sanchez Martinez	✺

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Benito Sanchez Martinez