Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZCZECIN (POLAND), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 September 2023, Tuesday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.33
	3.6	1.31
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.35	1.29	Watch
	3.15	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.96)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
28.5%

Dalibor Svrcina
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: Dalibor Svrcina will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bailly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Svrcina is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
23.08.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
21.08.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.08.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Marlon Vankan	0:2 ✺
15.08.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - William Jucha	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Johannes Ingildsen - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWL
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
06.09.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Dimitar Kuzmanov	1:2 ✺
05.09.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.23	Michael Mmoh - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
14.08.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Jason Jung	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

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