Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BLOIS (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	2.95	1.38
	3.1	1.39
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.91	1.37	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.65)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
31.9%

Gianluca Mager
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bailly will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Mager will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bailly is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mager is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bailly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mager is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
14.06.23	Tim Handel - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
25.05.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
23.05.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Dennis Novak - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.05.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Peter Benjamin Privara	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
15.06.23	Gianluca Mager - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
13.06.23	Gianluca Mager - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
17.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
16.05.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
15.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide