Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TURIN 2 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: TURIN 2 (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Gianluca Mager

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Aleksandar Kovacevic
39.9%

Gianluca Mager
60.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Users Predictions: Gianluca Mager will win (23 of 23 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Kovacevic is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mager is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kovacevic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mager will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
23.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
12.05.23	Benoit Paire - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
11.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
08.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
03.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Gianluca Mager