Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 4 (Tunisia), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Luca Potenza

	1	2
	1.49	2.52
	1.5	2.5
	1.49	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.62)	2.5 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
62.6%

Luca Potenza
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilles Arnaud Bailly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Potenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Luca Potenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 772. Potenza is ranked ATP: 565.

Recent matches Bailly is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Potenza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Potenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bailly will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bailly won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
31.01.25	Mika Petkovic - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Aaron Funk - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	Funk A. retired ✺
26.01.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WW?LW
- Luca Potenza
ITF Tournaments
31.01.25	Luca Potenza - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Luca Potenza - Ezekiel Clark	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Luca Potenza - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
23.01.25	Luca Potenza - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.09.23	Luca Potenza - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2
23.11.22	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Luca Potenza	2:1

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Luca Potenza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide