Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	1.49	2.6
	1.59	2.19	Watch
	1.49	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.86)	2.42 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
61.5%

Mikhail Kukushkin
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gilles Arnaud Bailly's performance.

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikhail Kukushkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilles Arnaud Bailly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikhail Kukushkin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bailly (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Bailly (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bailly (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 207. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 314.

Bailly is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kukushkin is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kukushkin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.66%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
02.11.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Anas Mazdrashki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Stuart Parker - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
19.10.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
12.10.25	James Duckworth - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Clement Chidekh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 ?LLWL

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide