The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gilles Simon 22.8%
Jannik Sinner 77.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
68%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
70%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gilles Simon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gilles Simon's form might have worsened.
Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jannik Sinner's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Simon than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gilles Simon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jannik Sinner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
34.8%
0%
65.2%
Gilles Simon - Jannik Sinner Predictions
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Simon will win (votes: 16 - 34.8%). Sinner will win (votes: 30 - 65.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 51.4% – 79%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Simon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sinner is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Simon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.