Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Milano, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Giorgio Tabacco		Gianmarco Ferrari

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44
	2.55	1.46
	2.69	1.48
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.50	1.44
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.25)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giorgio Tabacco
35.8%

Gianmarco Ferrari
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giorgio Tabacco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giorgio Tabacco's form might have worsened.

Gianmarco Ferrari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gianmarco Ferrari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giorgio Tabacco than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Giorgio Tabacco - Gianmarco Ferrari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabacco is ranked ATP: 745. Ferrari is ranked ATP: 435.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ferrari could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabacco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giorgio Tabacco
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Marcello Serafini - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Raffaele Ciurnelli	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Jacopo Bilardo - Giorgio Tabacco	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Giannicola Misasi - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Alessandro Spadola - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Leonardo Borrelli - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Gianmarco Ferrari - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Gianmarco Ferrari - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Petr Nesterov - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.05.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Giorgio Tabacco	1:2

Giorgio Tabacco - Gianmarco Ferrari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide