Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Giorgio Tabacco		Sergio Callejon Hernando

	1	2
	2.65	1.43
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.56	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giorgio Tabacco
35.7%

Sergio Callejon Hernando
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giorgio Tabacco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sergio Callejon Hernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giorgio Tabacco than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Giorgio Tabacco - Sergio Callejon Hernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabacco is ranked ATP: 820. Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 438.

Tabacco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Callejon Hernando's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tabacco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giorgio Tabacco
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Luis Guto Miguel	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Sebastian Gima	Gima S. Walkover ✺
18.04.26	Loann Massard - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Hazem Naw - Giorgio Tabacco	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 L?WWW
- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ITF Tournaments
25.04.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Arthur Nagel	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Felix Balshaw - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL

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