Match Info

Date: 27 September 2022, Tuesday


	Giovanni Calvano		Luca Castagnola

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	2.08	1.68
	2.04	1.64
	2.1	1.68
	2.1	1.67
	2.08	1.68	Watch
	2.07	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.84)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Calvano
44.6%

Luca Castagnola
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Calvano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Calvano's form might have worsened.

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Castagnola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Calvano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Calvano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Calvano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castagnola is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Calvano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Calvano
ITF Tournaments
23.09.22	Edoardo Lavagno - Giovanni Calvano	2:0 ✺
22.09.22	Giovanni Calvano - Jose Francisco Vidal Azorin	2:0 ✺
21.09.22	Andrea Guerrieri - Giovanni Calvano	0:2 ✺
08.09.22	Giovanni Calvano - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
07.09.22	Andrea Militi Ribaldi - Giovanni Calvano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWLW
- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
19.09.22	Luca Castagnola - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
13.09.22	Jelle Sels - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
01.09.22	Marcello Serafini - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
31.08.22	Luca Castagnola - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. retired ✺
29.08.22	Luca Castagnola - Gian Marco Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLL?W

Giovanni Calvano - Luca Castagnola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide