Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Perugia (Italy) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Pianaccioli B. (Ita)


	Giovanni Fonio		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.07	1.68	Watch
	2.13	1.74
	2.13	1.73
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.07	1.7	Watch
	2.04	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.08)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Fonio
44.9%

Andrea Pellegrino
55.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Giovanni Fonio - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fonio will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fonio is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pellegrino is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pellegrino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fonio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Giovanni Fonio - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Giovanni Fonio - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
29.05.24	Giovanni Fonio - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
28.05.24	Franco Agamenone - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
27.05.24	Giovanni Fonio - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.24	Gregoire Barrere - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
21.05.24	Maxime Cressy - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Denis Constantin Spiridon - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Nick Hardt - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.05.22	Giovanni Fonio - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2
ITF Tournaments
12.03.20	Giovanni Fonio - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0
29.03.19	Giovanni Fonio - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2

Giovanni Fonio - Andrea Pellegrino