Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Luraghi A. (Ita)


	Nick Hardt		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.85	1.88	Watch
	2	1.84
	1.93	1.94
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.88	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.11)	1.87 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nick Hardt
49.8%

Andrea Pellegrino
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nick Hardt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nick Hardt's performance.

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Pellegrino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nick Hardt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Pellegrino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Nick Hardt - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hardt will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hardt is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pellegrino is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pellegrino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nick Hardt
ATP Challenger
08.05.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
07.05.24	Nick Hardt - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Nick Hardt - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Nick Hardt - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
08.05.24	Adrian Andreev - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
06.05.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
30.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
29.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL

Nick Hardt - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide